Research / GDD study / Orange

CHAPTER 7 - CASE STUDY

Orange - A Case Study in Altitude

How elevation changes Raw GDD and Hambrook Pressure-Adjusted Growing Degree Days (HP-GDD) within one region.

Research and HP-GDD framework: Jonathan Hambrook

Why Orange was selected

Orange was selected because altitude is central to the region's climate identity and because a whole-GI average is likely to conceal a substantial internal gradient. Treating the GI and the analytical altitude bands within the same SILO workflow provides a direct test of the limits of regional averaging.

Whole-region and altitude-band interpretation

Orange is treated in two ways in this report. First, Orange is reported as a whole GI region. Second, Orange is broken into analytical altitude bands to show how elevation changes GDD, HP-GDD and climate-pressure interpretation within the same region.

The altitude bands are not official GI regions. They are pseudo-regions used to test whether a single regional average hides important internal variation. This is particularly important for Orange because altitude is a central part of its climate identity.

FIGURE 1

Orange GI and altitude bands - annual GDD value and climate class

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FIGURE 2

Orange whole region and altitude bands - 50-year GDD

Raw GDD for each unit, ordered low to high altitude. Dashed lines show each unit's linear trend; toggle series to isolate bands.

FIGURE 3

Orange whole region and altitude bands - 50-year HP-GDD

Annual HP-GDD for the same six units. Dashed lines show each unit's linear trend across the 50 seasons.

CURRENT DECADE

Current-decade altitude comparison

2016-17 to 2025-26, from the published current-decade records.

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INTERPRETATION

The lower Orange bands retain higher current-decade GDD and HP-GDD, while the higher bands retain cooler-climate potential but carry stronger frost and late-season pressure constraints. This supports treating Orange as internally variable rather than relying only on a single regional average.

SCREENING

Maturity-anchor screen

The chapter screens each Orange unit against published variety maturity bands, comparing where Raw GDD and HP-GDD fall relative to each variety's screening range. This is a screening aid, not a planting recommendation.

Interactive variety table coming with the Variety Explorer.